Bonds Investment TV

TREASURIES-Bonds rise on outlook for supportive Fed policy


Article from reuters
Tue Mar 27, 2012 5:05pm EDT

* Dovish Bernanke views foster lower yields

* U.S. consumer confidence pulls back slightly in March

* Fed bought long-dated bonds

* U.S. Treasury sells 2-yr notes in well-bid auction

By Ellen Freilich

NEW YORK, March 27 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries prices rose on Tuesday, assisted by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's signal early this week that the U.S. central bank would keep monetary policy accommodative in order to quicken economic growth and cut unemployment.

Bernanke's view on sluggish U.S. growth being inadequate to reduce U.S. unemployment held out the promise of further easing by the Fed, a move markets had begun to back away from after reports showed signs of life in the labor market.

In an interview with ABC News set for broadcast later this evening, Bernanke spoke again in the same vein, saying it was important not to be complacent about the health of the U.S. economy. Asked about the potential for more large-scale Fed purchases aimed at keeping long-term interest rates low, Bernanke said the Fed was taking no options off the table.

"Bernanke has been fairly dovish of late and that put a little bit of fear into some people who had thought more quantitative easing was further away; so people are covering their shorts," said Scott J. Graham, head of government bond trading at BMO Capital Markets.

"First you had people taking positions off and that caused some imbalances, and now, we're going the other way," he said.

Demand for Treasuries was evident in the government's sale of $35 billion in two-year notes offering the highest yields in an auction of that maturity since July 2011.

The indirect bid was the largest since November at $19.1 billion, said Thomas Simons, money market economist at Jefferies & Co. in New York.

Benchmark 10-year notes were up 15/32 in late trade, their yields easing to 2.20 percent, below the 200-day moving average of 2.2170 percent.

The 30-year bond was up 27/32, its yield easing to 3.29 percent from 3.34 percent on Monday. The 30-year is below its 4-1/2-month high of 3.4920 percent set last Monday and its 200-day moving average of 3.3672 percent.

Matthew Duch, lead portfolio manager for the Calvert Government Fund at Calvert Investments, a fund group with more than $12.6 billion in assets under management, said flows were light.

"We're getting slow, steady growth," he said. "The Fed is doing everything they can do to accelerate the economy."

On Monday, Fed Chairman Bernanke cautioned that U.S. growth remains too low to reduce unemployment much further. The jobless rate stood at 8.3 percent in February.

The better U.S. jobs picture has lifted consumer sentiment in recent months, but a report on Tuesday hinted that improvement might be hitting a plateau due to rising gasoline prices. The Conference Board said its U.S. consumer confidence index slipped to 70.2 in March from an upwardly revised 71.6 in February.

Deutsche Bank Securities director and senior U.S. economist Carl Riccadonna said too much was being made of the rise in gasoline prices to $4 a gallon.

"The move up in gas prices has gotten a lot of attention in the media," he said. "That makes for great headlines, but in fact gas prices are rising in line with the usual seasonal pattern, which typically shows sharp increases in the first half of the year going into the summer driving season and then falls off in late summer, early fall."

After its two-year note auction on Tuesday, the Treasury will sell $35 billion in five-year notes on Wednesday and $29 billion in seven-year notes on Thursday.

The auctions come as corporate bond issuance is setting records as firms borrow money at low interest rates.

Investment-grade companies set a record for issuance in the first quarter, at $274.5 billion. That surpassed the previous high of $272.3 billion five years ago before the financial crisis began, according to IFR, a unit of Thomson Reuters.

Prior to the two-year note sale, the Fed bought $1.97 billion in long-dated Treasuries due Feb. 2036 to May 2041.


Article from reuters

Rule change puts bonds in the spotlight


Gareth Hutchens
March 26, 2012
Article from The Sydney Morning Herald

The head of fixed income at UBS, Duncan Haig, accepts that bonds are not the most exciting investment. 
The head of fixed income at UBS, Duncan Haig, accepts that bonds are not the most exciting investment. Photo: Quentin Jones

TELLING someone what he does for a living, Duncan Haig is the first to admit, often has people's eyes glazing over.

"We're the pessimists on the dark side of the room, the bright side's down there," says Mr Haig, the head of fixed income at UBS, pointing to the equities traders.
"What's your son do? Oh, he works in the sharemarket or money market or something," jokes colleague Andrew Clark, head of interest rate sales.

Despite all the chaos in global bond markets in recent years, or their crucial role in the massive stimulus packages pushed through by governments around the world, Clarke jokes traders' parents still have no idea what they do.

Large-scale privatisations of Telstra or the Commonwealth Bank have in the past helped Australians fall in love with shares. But bonds, seen as a more stable and less risky asset class than property or equities, are still largely a mystery.

The former head of the federal Treasury, Ken Henry, recently warned about Australians' lack of interest in fixed income and what it meant for the performance of their portfolios in times of crisis.

Since 2007, the market value of the UBS composite bond index — which is used as a benchmark index for 90 per cent of Australia's fixed interest funds — has nearly tripled in size, growing from $207 billion to more than $596 billion.

But that could all be about to change. This year, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission changed the rules to allow bonds, called fixed-income products, to be listed on the stock exchange in exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

That means investors can get exposure to bonds in similar ways to equities.

Last week, iShares launched a range of fixed-income ETFs, using the UBS indices and the Australian Securities Exchange expects at least 10 ETFs to be listed by June.

It has been 25 years this month since the UBS bank bill index, which measures the performance of Australia's short-term money market, was introduced.

Article from The Sydney Morning Herald

Bond Sales Revisit ’09 Highs as Plunging Yields Entice Borrowers


Bloomberg News
By Katie Linsell and Hannah Benjamin on March 23, 2012  
Article from Bloomberg Businessweek

European companies sold 11.5 billion euros ($15 billion) of bonds in the busiest week of issuance in 2 1/2 years as borrowers took advantage of record- low yields and pent-up investor demand for the debt.

Fiat SpA (F), Italy’s biggest manufacturer, steel producer ArcelorMittal and Jaguar Land Rover Plc sold bonds as non- financial corporate sales reached the highest since September 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Issuance this year now stands at 77 billion euros, the most in a quarter since March to June 2009 when companies raised 95.7 billion euros.

The European Central Bank’s injection of more than $1 trillion into the financial system eased concern that the region’s sovereign debt strains will trigger defaults. Corporate bond yields plunged 60 basis points this year to 2.7 percent, close to last week’s record 2.6 percent, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s European Corporates Non-Financial Index shows.

“A lot of issuers have taken the opportunity to issue at record-low yields,” said Orjan Pettersson, a fund manager at SEB Asset Management in Stockholm, which oversees 5 billion euros of assets. “We also see a lot of inflows into our corporate bond funds so there is very strong underlying demand as well. The LTRO was a trigger for a radical sentiment shift.”

Moody’s Investors Service cut its 2012 global default rate forecast to 2.6 percent on March 8, from 2.8 percent the previous month. The New York-based ratings firm said it expects “historically low” default-rate levels to “continue over the near term while recognizing that significant risks remain.”

Sales ‘Burst’
The extra yield investors demand to buy company bonds instead of benchmark German government debt narrowed 61 basis points since December to 140, or 1.4 percentage points, Bank of America Merrill Lynch data show. The spread narrowed to 139 basis points March 16, the smallest gap since August.

“We’ve clearly had a burst, but we need to see how the lingering sovereign situation continues to pan out when considering whether it can continue,” said Harpreet Parhar, a credit strategist at Credit Agricole SA in London.

Investment-grade corporate bond funds in Europe are attracting the most money in almost three years. Investors funneled 2 billion euros into high-grade funds in January, the biggest inflow since July 2009, according to Chicago-based Morningstar Inc.

Fiat, which had its credit rating put on negative watch by Standard & Poor’s last month, sold 850 million euros of five- year securities, in its first bond sale since July 5, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The securities were priced to yield 594 basis points more than German government debt.

The Turin-based company is rated Ba2 by Moody’s, two levels below investment grade, and BB by S&P, which said last month it may lower the rating one more level by May.

Jaguar, ArcelorMittal
Jaguar Land Rover, the luxury vehicle unit of India’s Tata Motors Ltd., sold 500 million pounds ($795 million) of six-year notes in its first issue since May 2011. The Gaydon, England- based company’s securities were priced at a spread of 647 basis points more than U.K. government bonds. Jaguar Land Rover is rated B+ by S&P and B1 by Moody’s.

ArcelorMittal (MT), the world’s largest steelmaker, sold 500 million euros of six-year bonds that were priced to yield 343 basis points more than government debt. The Luxembourg-based company is rated BBB- by S&P, the lowest investment grade level, and Baa3 by Moody’s.

To contact the reporters on this story: Katie Linsell in London at klinsell@bloomberg.net; Hannah Benjamin in London at hbenjamin1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Paul Armstrong at parmstrong10@bloomberg.net

Article from Bloomberg Businessweek